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Cancer-tracking AI could save lives by predicting how tumours evolve

By Andy Coghlan

31 August 2018

Breast cancer cell

An AI can track how breast cancer cells evolve

STEVE GSCHMEISSNER/SCIENCE PHOTO LIBRARY

An artificial intelligence system called Revolver is revealing previously hidden but common tricks by which cancers evolve to spread and defy treatment. It should allow doctors to better identify what stage cancers have reached, what they will do next and how to stop them.

We can treat cancer if we intervene before it鈥檚 too late, says Andrea Sottoriva of the Institute of Cancer Research in London, and head of the study team developing Revolver. 鈥淭he key is, can you stay one step ahead of the disease?鈥

Revolver helped Sottoriva鈥檚 team unmask key evolutionary steps in cancers. It uses data from multiple patients to create a genetic 鈥渇amily tree鈥 that tracks how cancer evolves, and identifies the series of mutations that most often lead to cancer.

Previous聽cancer family trees have often relied on samples from individual patients. But because mutations in cancers are so random and varied鈥攅ven within one person鈥檚 cancer–the important ones can be masked by harmless background mutations and missed in the analysis.

Revolver got round this by simultaneously analysing mutation data from 178 patients at once, covering 768 tumour samples and four types of cancer鈥攂owel, lung, breast and kidney.

This made key evolutionary steps stand out better from the background benign mutations. Three key gene mutations are already known to be crucial for benign polyps in the colon to become cancerous, for example, but they鈥檝e never been seen together in a single patient.

Despite this, Revolver identified the three mutations as the key ones when it was tested on gene profiles from 95 colorectal cancer patients. It also correctly identified key gene mutations already known to drive evolution of lung, breast and kidney cancers.

鈥淯nderstanding intra-tumour evolution during cancer therapy is critical for optimising treatment,鈥 says Robert Gatenby of the Moffitt Cancer Center in Tampa, Florida, who has pioneered a game-theory based way of treating prostate cancer according to how it evolves. 鈥淭he team has put together a very sophisticated method to do this, and I look forward to its future application in the clinic.鈥

Nature Methods

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